Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004174 0.004391 0.004614 0.004860 0.005124 0.005401 0.005712
2025-08-31 0.003774 0.004093 0.004433 0.004827 0.005271 0.005758 0.006336
2025-09-07 0.003500 0.003870 0.004278 0.004763 0.005329 0.005970 0.006761
2025-09-14 0.003285 0.003688 0.004143 0.004696 0.005357 0.006129 0.007110
2025-09-21 0.003150 0.003584 0.004083 0.004703 0.005461 0.006370 0.007559
2025-09-28 0.002952 0.003394 0.003908 0.004557 0.005366 0.006355 0.007679
2025-10-05 0.002852 0.003312 0.003855 0.004554 0.005440 0.006547 0.008066
2025-10-12 0.002802 0.003287 0.003869 0.004628 0.005611 0.006866 0.008633
2025-10-19 0.002705 0.003200 0.003799 0.004593 0.005637 0.006993 0.008944
2025-10-26 0.002621 0.003124 0.003741 0.004567 0.005670 0.007129 0.009271
2025-11-02 0.002541 0.003049 0.003679 0.004534 0.005690 0.007245 0.009573
2025-11-09 0.002512 0.003039 0.003698 0.004605 0.005853 0.007561 0.010179
2025-11-16 0.002445 0.002978 0.003651 0.004587 0.005892 0.007708 0.010550
2025-11-23 0.002378 0.002913 0.003596 0.004556 0.005911 0.007827 0.010884
2025-11-30 0.002303 0.002837 0.003523 0.004497 0.005888 0.007880 0.011115
2025-12-07 0.002232 0.002763 0.003451 0.004435 0.005855 0.007917 0.011321
2025-12-14 0.002191 0.002727 0.003428 0.004441 0.005922 0.008104 0.011777
2025-12-21 0.002100 0.002623 0.003309 0.004306 0.005774 0.007957 0.011675
2025-12-28 0.002061 0.002587 0.003283 0.004303 0.005822 0.008112 0.012086
2026-01-04 0.002050 0.002588 0.003307 0.004372 0.005980 0.008446 0.012823
2026-01-11 0.002004 0.002541 0.003262 0.004340 0.005982 0.008530 0.013128
2026-01-18 0.001963 0.002499 0.003224 0.004316 0.005995 0.008633 0.013471
2026-01-25 0.001922 0.002456 0.003183 0.004285 0.005996 0.008715 0.013781